Rli Sees Cautious Growth in Transportation and Property as Auto Severity Climbs

Insights from the Earnings Call: RLI Corp. (RLI) First Quarter 2025

Management View

  • CEO Craig Kliethermes underscored RLI Corporation's robust beginning to 2025, announcing a combined ratio of 82%. He stressed the diversity within their specialized product lineup. Kliethermes also pointed out the organization’s capacity to adjust swiftly amid market upheavals without compromising underwriting standards. Additionally, he emphasized the firm’s dedication to achieving sustained financial gains over time.
  • The CFO, Todd Bryant, announced an operating earning of $0.92 per share along with a 12% rise in investment income. The company saw a 5% boost in gross premiums written compared to the previous year; however, the(Property)segment faced a setback with a decrease of 6% in gross premiums but managed to achieve a combined ratio of 57%. On a positive note, premiums from the(Casualty)section climbed up by 14%, thanks largely to expansion in areas such as personal umbrella policies and E&S casualty broking.
  • Chief Operating Officer Jen Klobnak highlighted strategic underwriting choices amid heightened competition, notably within the Property and Casualty sectors. She mentioned raising rates for auto liability and personal umbrella policies to tackle rising costs associated with losses. Significant expansion in premiums was observed in Hawaii’s homeowners and marine insurance markets owing to favorable market conditions.

Outlook

  • The management emphasized their ongoing commitment to raising rates and making underwriting changes in the Casualty lines to tackle increasing automobile severity. They anticipate that rate hikes of around 15% for personal umbrella policies and 17% for auto liability will help restore profit stability.
  • The firm intends to capitalize on openings in markets where rivals are retreating, bolstered by its robust underwriting and claims framework.

Financial Results

  • RLI announced a combined ratio of 82.3% for the period, which was marginally above the prior year's figure of 78.5%. This increase can be attributed primarily to reduced favorable reserve releases. In terms of operating cash flow, RLI saw an improvement to $103 million, representing a rise of $33 million compared to the same time frame last year.
  • The property segment saw a decrease of 6% in premiums; however, it remained profitable with a combined ratio of 57%. Growth was propelled by marine and Hawaii homeowners' businesses, whereas E&S property faced an 14% drop in premiums as a result of intense competition.
  • Non-life insurance premiums rose by 14%, bolstered by a 9% hike in rates. The division reported a combined ratio of 99, marked by positive performance in general liability and professional liability claims, which was somewhat countered by higher provisions for automobile-related coverage.
  • The surety premiums stayed steady, accompanied by a combined ratio of 68.5%. This improvement was due to positive developments and low levels of loss activity.

Q&A

  • Bill Carcache from Wolfe Research raised concerns about how RLI is handling possible economic downturns due to tariff policies. In response, CEO Kliethermes discussed the company’s varied investment portfolio and past performance during economic slumps, highlighting potential growth areas in heightened domestic building activities.
  • Michael Phillips from Oppenheimer inquired about the increasing severity observed in personal umbrella and transportation sectors. The Chief Operating Officer, Klobnak, elaborated on the implemented rate hikes and modifications in underwriting strategies. These changes included boosting the necessary underlying coverage thresholds and curtailing expansion in challenging regions.
  • Gregory Peters and Raymond James asked about the competitiveness of the earthquake insurance market. Chief Operating Officer Klobnak admitted that they face pricing pressure because more competitors have entered the field, leading some policyholders to choose retaining their own risks instead. However, Klobnak highlighted RLI Corporation’s commitment to maintaining a careful strategy amid these challenges.

Sentiment Analysis

  • Experts showed guarded enthusiasm, emphasizing RLI’s capability to handle competitive challenges and increasing claim expenses. Their worries revolved around escalating severity trends in auto insurance and the competitive environment within both casualty and property sectors.
  • During their prepared statements, management conveyed an assured demeanor, stressing their methodical strategy and commitment to sustained profit growth. However, the tone shifted somewhat defensively during the question-and-answer session, notably when tackling issues within the automotive and real estate sectors.
  • In comparison to the prior quarter, analysts maintained their consistent perspective, emphasizing market difficulties and RLI’s approaches to mitigating these issues. The management expressed assurance regarding their strategic modifications and capacity to capitalize on available market opportunities.

Quarter-over-Quarter Comparison

  • Guidance language remained consistent, with a continued focus on addressing auto severity and leveraging market opportunities in property and casualty lines.
  • This quarter saw casualty premiums increase more rapidly (at a rate of 14%) compared to 9% in the fourth quarter of 2024, with the growth primarily due to increased rates and adjustments in underwriting strategies.
  • The property segment's high-end revenue drop of 6% in Q1 2025 versus a 3% decrease in Q4 2024 highlights growing competitive pressures.
  • The management maintained their tone and level of confidence, continuing to prioritize disciplined expansion and profit.

Risks and Concerns

  • Increasing vehicle damage costs continue to pose a major challenge, especially for personal umbrella policies and various transport-related insurance sectors. The management team is tackling this issue via premium hikes and changes in their underwriting strategies.
  • The competitive landscape within the E&S property sector, notably driven by MGAs, is affecting premium expansion and pricing dynamics.
  • Economic instability along with disruptions caused by tariffs could potentially threaten exposure levels within the construction and transportation sectors.
  • Experts expressed reservations regarding the longevity of price hikes and the competitive environment in major markets.

Final Takeaway

RLI Corporation has shown robust performance at the beginning of 2025, bolstered by careful underwriting practices and targeted premium increases, especially due to escalating automobile claim costs. Despite intense competition in both property and casualty sectors posing difficulties, the firm utilizes its varied investment mix and industry know-how to sustain earnings. The leadership team prioritizes sustained expansion and cautious handling of risks, highlighting their dedication to enhancing shareholder returns.

Review the complete earnings call transcript here.

More on RLI

  • RLI Corp. (RLI) First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
  • RLI Corp.: Competitors Increasing in E&S Market
  • RLI First Quarter 2025 Earnings Forecast
  • Jefferies has lowered RLI to an underperform rating due to anticipated sluggish growth moving forward.
  • Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on RLI

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